Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 31.101178 35.431910 40.173149 45.753166 52.146235 59.248490 67.746165
2024-12-22 25.463635 31.190714 37.945421 46.515769 57.124113 69.855265 86.340530
2024-12-29 22.008151 28.775120 37.310915 48.906369 64.309278 84.153102 111.797573
2025-01-05 18.670134 25.927921 35.670934 49.776393 69.795616 97.369380 138.541374
2025-01-12 15.446294 22.684491 32.980191 48.800051 72.693045 107.746255 163.652072
2025-01-19 13.075168 20.238141 30.997674 48.488952 76.516353 120.191848 194.406668
2025-01-26 11.671485 18.998365 30.595708 50.503458 84.286530 140.117471 241.065095
2025-02-02 10.599898 18.100281 30.579709 53.147861 93.618399 164.408304 300.363298
2025-02-09 9.393177 16.772105 29.635605 54.065238 100.213505 185.392513 358.653154
2025-02-16 8.108475 15.090512 27.801445 53.070122 103.188777 200.495902 409.476113
2025-02-23 7.060090 13.665239 26.195231 52.213157 106.282164 216.483622 465.893164
2025-03-02 6.189889 12.435356 24.755680 51.424003 109.376351 233.136975 527.776123
2025-03-09 5.564026 11.612330 24.032269 52.092015 115.948774 259.083263 618.302207
2025-03-16 4.966618 10.748571 23.084845 52.121624 121.198566 283.433788 711.936095
2025-03-23 4.603179 10.327394 23.014338 54.123604 131.492505 321.932308 851.568530
2025-03-30 4.168836 9.673877 22.318799 54.543165 138.121085 353.205023 981.520699
2025-04-06 3.671825 8.790887 20.945298 53.050486 139.646727 371.980944 1082.807322
2025-04-13 3.291537 8.123402 19.972103 52.385737 143.236141 397.176433 1210.388354
2025-04-20 3.090716 7.867661 19.974143 54.303513 154.396183 446.238734 1426.049251
2025-04-27 2.939812 7.714528 20.214016 56.935873 168.268446 506.785055 1698.125405
2025-05-04 2.723048 7.350368 19.834875 57.745612 176.961851 554.005717 1941.205608
2025-05-11 2.452457 6.794118 18.837841 56.544178 179.200824 581.574817 2124.571792
2025-05-18 2.220175 6.307456 17.955517 55.523829 181.838101 611.314099 2326.644569